Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos - 2026 College Football Game
Betting Information
|
Open
|
Spread
|
Total
|
ML
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
WMU
|
-14 | -14 | 45 | -650 |
|
BGSU
|
+14 | +14 | 45 | +450 |
|
Open
|
Spread
|
Total
|
ML
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
WMU
|
-15.5 | -14 | 44.5 | -625 |
|
BGSU
|
+15.5 | +14 | 44.5 | +455 |
Last Updated: 4 minutes ago
No stats available yet.
Bowling Green
63 plays
Western Michigan
59 plays
24%
Postgame win expectancy
76%
Western Michigan earned it. A game played like this one goes its way 76% of the time.
Excitement index 3.7
Efficiency
-0.15
EPA per play
-0.06
30.2%
Success rate
33.9%
1.41
Explosiveness
1.28
Finishing drives
2.0
Points per trip inside the 40
2.7
5
Trips inside the 40
6
Pass vs rush
-0.03
EPA per pass
0.13
0.17
EPA per rush
-0.16
Staying on schedule
31.6%
Standard downs success
40.0%
28.0%
Passing downs success
14.3%
Field position
Own 26
Average starting spot
Own 29
Havoc created by the defense
13.6%
Havoc rate
28.6%
11.9%
Front seven
17.5%
1.7%
Secondary
11.1%
EPA per play by quarter
0.32
1st quarter
0.29
-0.24
2nd quarter
-0.30
0.16
3rd quarter
0.50
-0.98
4th quarter
-0.52
Rushing detail
2.7
Line yards per rush
2.7
1.2
Second level yards per rush
0.5
1.5
Open field yards per rush
2.1
66.7%
Power success
100.0%
Who carried the offense
Share of the team's plays that went through each player, and the expected points each of those plays was worth.
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Jay Kastantin QB62% of plays, -0.02 EPA per play
-
Nakai Amachree RB24% of plays, 0.09 EPA per play
-
Ke'Marion Baldwin RB10% of plays, -0.23 EPA per play
-
Broc Lowry QB42% of plays, -0.31 EPA per play
-
Jalen Buckley RB42% of plays, -0.09 EPA per play
-
Cole Cabana RB14% of plays, 0.85 EPA per play
What these numbers mean
- Postgame win expectancy
- How often a team wins a game with these underlying numbers, ignoring the final score. A winner below 50% got the breaks.
- Excitement index
- How much the win probability swung during the game. Blowouts sit near zero; a game with several lead changes climbs past 6.
- Havoc
- Share of the opponent's plays the defense blew up: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions, and passes broken up. Split by front seven and secondary.
- Power success
- Runs on third or fourth down with two yards or less to go that got the first down or touchdown.
- EPA
- Expected points added. Points a play added or cost compared to the average outcome from that spot.
- Success rate
- Share of plays that kept the offense on schedule: half the yards on first down, 70% on second, all of it on third and fourth.
- Explosiveness
- Average EPA on successful plays only. High numbers mean big chunks, not steady gains.
- Trips inside the 40
- Drives that reached the opponent's 40. Points per trip shows who is cashing them in.
- Standard and passing downs
- Standard downs are manageable spots. Passing downs are second and long or third and medium-plus, where the defense knows what's coming.
- Line, second level, open field yards
- Rushing yards split by who earned them: the line (first 5 yards), the back (5 to 10), and the back in space (beyond 10).
Depth Charts
Western Michigan
DEF
Bowling Green
OFF
Bowling Green
DEF
Western Michigan
OFF
No Play-by-Play Data Available
No Scoring Plays Available
All Plays
No Play-by-Play Data Available
Scoring Plays
No Scoring Plays Available